The Shockwaves from Egypt to Palestine
- Details
- Category: International
- Created on Wednesday, 02 February 2011 10:05
- Written by Ali Abunimah
It goes without saying that the popular uprising in Egypt is having and will have effects throughout the region (and more broadly) -- not only as inspiration and example to the people, but in its reverberations within the intricate imperial structure of Middle East power-relations built and maintained by the US and Israel over the past 30 years and more. The following piece, originally published in the Electronic Intifada, analyzes ramifications for Palestine and its long struggle for liberation. Ali Abunimah is co-founder of The Electronic Intifada, author of One Country: A Bold Proposal to End the Israeli-Palestinian Impasse.
Egypt's uprising and its implications for Palestine
Ali Abunimah
We are in the middle of a political earthquake in the Arab world and the ground has still not stopped shaking. To make predictions when events are so fluid is risky, but there is no doubt that the uprising in Egypt -- however it ends -- will have a dramatic impact across the region and within Palestine.
If the Mubarak regime falls, and is replaced by one less tied to Israel and the United States, Israel will be a big loser. As Aluf Benn commented in the Israeli daily Haaretz, "The fading power of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak's government leaves Israel in a state of strategic distress. Without Mubarak, Israel is left with almost no friends in the Middle East; last year, Israel saw its alliance with Turkey collapse"
Indeed, Benn observes, "Israel is left with two strategic allies in the region: Jordan and the Palestinian Authority." But what Benn does not say is that these two "allies" will not be immune either.
Over the past few weeks I was in Doha examining the Palestine Papers leaked to Al Jazeera. These documents underscore the extent to which the split between the US-backed Palestinian Authority in Ramallah headed by Mahmoud Abbas and his Fatah faction, on the one hand, and Hamas in the Gaza Strip, on the other -- was a policy decision of regional powers: the United States, Egypt and Israel. This policy included Egypt's strict enforcement of the siege of Gaza.
If the Mubarak regime goes, the United States will lose enormous leverage over the situation in Palestine, and Abbas' PA will lose one of its main allies against Hamas.
Already discredited by the extent of its collaboration and capitulation exposed in the Palestine Papers, the PA will be weakened even further. With no credible "peace process" to justify its continued "security coordination" with Israel, or even its very existence, the countdown may well begin for the PA's implosion. Even the US and EU support for the repressive PA police-state-in-the-making may no longer be politically tenable. Hamas may be the immediate beneficiary, but not necessarily in the long term. For the first time in years we are seeing broad mass movements that, while they include Islamists, are not necessarily dominated or controlled by them.
There is also a demonstration effect for Palestinians: the endurance of the Tunisian and Egyptian regimes has been based on the perception that they were strong, as well as their ability to terrorize parts of their populations and co-opt others. The relative ease with which Tunisians threw off their dictator, and the speed with which Egypt, and perhaps Yemen, seem to be going down the same road, may well send a message to Palestinians that neither Israel's nor the PA's security forces are as indomitable as they appear. Indeed, Israel's "deterrence" already took a huge blow from its failure to defeat Hizballah in Lebanon in 2006, and Hamas in Gaza during the winter 2008-09 attacks.
As for Abbas's PA, never has so much international donor money been spent on a security force with such poor results. The open secret is that without the Israeli military occupying the West Bank and besieging Gaza (with the Mubarak regime's help), Abbas and his praetorian guard would have fallen long ago. Built on the foundations of a fraudulent peace process, the US, EU and Israel with the support of the decrepit Arab regimes now under threat by their own people, have constructed a Palestinian house of cards that is unlikely to remain standing much longer.
This time the message may be that the answer is not more military resistance but rather more people power and a stronger emphasis on popular protests. Today, Palestinians form at least half the population in historic Palestine -- Israel, the West Bank and the Gaza Strip combined. If they rose up collectively to demand equal rights, what could Israel do to stop them? Israel's brutal violence and lethal force has not stopped regular demonstrations in West Bank villages including Bilin and Beit Ommar.
Israel must fear that if it responds to any broad uprising with brutality, its already precarious international support could start to evaporate as quickly as Mubarak's. The Mubarak regime, it seems, is undergoing rapid "delegitimization." Israeli leaders have made it clear that such an implosion of international support scares them more than any external military threat. With the power shifting to the Arab people and away from their regimes, Arab governments may not be able to remain as silent and complicit as they have for years as Israel oppresses Palestinians.
As for Jordan, change is already underway. I witnessed a protest of thousands of people in downtown Amman yesterday. These well-organized and peaceful protests, called for by a coalition of Islamist and leftist opposition parties, have been held now for weeks in cities around the country. The protesters are demanding the resignation of the government of Prime Minister Samir al-Rifai, dissolution of the parliament elected in what were widely seen as fraudulent elections in November, new free elections based on democratic laws, economic justice, an end to corruption and cancelation of the peace treaty with Israel. There were strong demonstrations of solidarity for the people of Egypt.
None of the parties at the demonstration called for the kind of revolutions that happened in Tunisia and Egypt to occur in Jordan, and there is no reason to believe such developments are imminent. But the slogans heard at the protests are unprecedented in their boldness and their direct challenge to authority. Any government that is more responsive to the wishes of the people will have to review its relationship with Israel and the United States.
Only one thing is certain today: whatever happens in the region, the people's voices can no longer be ignored.
Comments (18)
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Guest (doc)
Permalink"the faux, zionist entity."
It's a state. It has an armed body of men with the exclusive right to use force (army, police, airforce, courts, prisons, etc).
It's a bourgeois state and communists wish for revolutions to overthrow bourgeois states.
It's a state which bases access to rights and privileges of full citizenship on race/religious background. Communists (and even liberals) are opposed to that.
But not wanting it to be a state is not the same as it not being a state. It's delusional to think otherwise.
As Amilcar Cabral used to admonish: "Tell no lies; claim no easy victories."
And not acknowledging the fact of statehood only in the case of Israel (as opposed to, say, in regards to France, Canada, Cameroon or Japan) is hard to justify on any grounds other than anti-Jewish bigotry.0 Like -
Guest (angelagenie)
Permalink'israel', is the only 'state/country' in the world that does not have declared borders; which makes it an illegitimate, faux, zionist entity.
It's not anti-Jewish to point out the obvious; how can an entity expect to be recognized unless it declares its borders?
Of course, 'israel' doesn't declare its borders because of its delusional dogma of planning and acting on creating "the greater israel'.0 Like -
Guest (doc)
PermalinkYes, we're opposed to the Zionist project -- greater Israel, lesser Israel, whatever.
It happens to have control of an actual state right now. Really. It's not a faux airforce that bombed Gaza and they aren't faux prisons incarcerating militants. They are real.
Really.
Wishing it were not so or coming up with rhetorical devices that ensure no member of the particular working class I engage with most regularly (ie that of the USA) will do anything other than refuse to engage seems self-defeating to me.
I'll let you have the last word, Angel, if no one else wants to get tangled in this thread since the actual article is insightful and useful in trying to understand the political (and material) space that the Egyptian uprising may create in Palestine.0 Like -
Sorry, but opposing apartheid in South Africa wasn't motivated by anti-Dutch prejudice. Setter states must fall. Israel is not a country. It's an armed, racist garrison for US imperialism — and they tremble in fear as the people of Egypt rise up against the puppet regime. The sooner the Zionist entity is demolished, root and branch — the sooner the people of Palestine (Arabs, Jews and others) can proceed to develop the region away from the horrors they have endured since the establishment of the settler regime.
The world knows. Americans must too.0 Like -
Guest (doc)
PermalinkI don't believe the anti-South African apartheid movement ever denied the existence of a South African state. In fact, the existence of a South African apartheid state was exactly the problem confronting the movement.
Redflag, I have two (sets of)questions for you:
1) Do you believe Saudi Arabia is a state? Was Egypt under Mubarak a state? If they are, why is Israel not?
2) If you think Israel (or Saudi Arabia or Egypt for that matter) is not (are not) a state do you think Marx's definition (that I referred to in my first post) of what constitutes a state was lacking in some way? Is that based on your understanding of the development of imperialism in some way that includes neo-colonial governments like those running most of Africa (for example) and historic settler projects (e.g., Canada, the US, Australia..) as states but not Israel. Please explain.0 Like -
Israel is not a neo-colonial regime. It is a settler state, like apartheid South Africa or Rhodesia or French Algeria. With the exception that it is the key enforcer of US imperialism in the region, and through sub-contracting internationally. That state is a garrison, not a "state of the Jewish people". Most Jews do not live in Israel, and even if they chose to emigrate to Palestine — they do not have the right (by any stretch of the imagination) to run an apartheid regime.
If we are internationalists, we must stand against the settler regimes and bring them down. The replacement of the Zionist entity with a secular and de-militarized republic is only the most basic democratic demand for the region and the world.0 Like -
Guest (doc)
PermalinkRedflags,
We both acknowledge that Israel is a state (we even agree on what type of state). I think the traditional demand is for a democratic, secular socialist federation of the Middle East as opposed to hoping for a bourgeois democratic republic. But bourgeois non-racialized democratic republics would be an advance in the region for sure.
You seem to want to privilege the use of the word "entity" instead of "state" except when pressed to the wall even though you acknowledge that Israel is a state. I find that silly to be honest and tactically isolating without any upside.
You say "the" when I would say "a" a fair amount. Letting the despotic Arab regimes off the hook doesn't not seem internationalist to me or strategic (see article to which this thread began in response). A free Palestine probably depends on the ability of the Arab street (as well as the Egyptian army) to push Arab governments into supporting anti-colonial efforts of Palestinian liberation forces.
You seem also to be arguing with a straw man from time to time. No one in this discussion has argued that Israel is
<<a>>
Somehow I find it hard to imagine that you or Angel have ever spent any time arguing that Jews should be able to live free and participate fully without any discriminatory barriers in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Kuwait et al. The Bolsheviks (pre-Stalin and Soviet capitulation to zionism) were solid opponents of anti-semitism in practice. Absent a left that gets that, Jews en masse will have little ability to imagine a survival strategy that doesn't depend on a zionist garrison state allied to some imperial bully or other. That doesn't mean that Jews have a right to that imagination but I'm less concerned with imagined moralities than I am with strategic visions of victories. A credible internationalism as a material force that values Jewish life, most Jews will be allied with the side of reaction (at best liberals everywhere but Palestine).0 Like -
Guest (chicanofuturet)
PermalinkDoc..come on man get off it..no one here is dissing Jews or the Jewish faith.As a matter of fact if you read the posts here on Kasama you will see that we spend a hell of a lot more time criticizing Islamic fundamentalism than Judaism as Zionism.
So,Please don't bait us with insinuations of anti-semitism..
I for one am absolutely opposed to any harm or destruction coming to the Jewish people no matter where that source may originate.
I think most of us here want what I believe you also desire..that is a peaceful middle eastern region guided by the principles of democracy and socialism,where people can have the opportunity to live in peace and develop their abilities to the fullest extent without the agonizing stress of death,war and conflict constantly hanging over their heads like the Sword of Damocles....
I have no doubt in my mind that if this were to ever be achieved that the genius of the middle east would explode in a
tsunami of creativity and economic development that would rival any other region on earth..0 Like -
What's up, Doc? You <i>obviously</i> don't know me. So what you imagine I do or don't do is really not that interesting.
Dictatorship for 80 million Egyptians so Israel can ethnically cleanse Palestine in the name of Jews? Forgive my lack of interest in affirming that value.0 Like -
Guest (PatrickSMcNally)
Permalink> Dictatorship for 80 million Egyptians so Israel can ethnically cleanse Palestine in the name of Jews?
To be fair, that is not what this exchange began over. It began over whether or not it made sense to classify the Zionist state as "faux" (i.e., false, fake) as opposed to something not such. Things seem to have wondered away from that.0 Like -
The question of whether or not Israel is a "state" is a red herring. It is obviously a state, and no one seriously denies it is a state. The term "zionist entity" (which is popular in some corners) does not deny that Israel is a state. It is simply a way of describing Israel that doesn't grant it legitimacy or legality.
The issue is whether Israel has a "right to exist" -- and whether solutions are therefore predicated on "peace" between Israel and its neighbors, and some creation of "two states' in Palestine in ways that protect Israel's security. All those "two state" schemes are the creation of demilitarized, dominated Palestinian bantustans, and ways of demanding that the Palestinians accept their supposed defeat at the hands of a now permanent entrenched Israel.
The point (if I understand Jed correctly) being made is that settler states like Israel don't have legitimacy -- they are slow motion invasions that have no right to exist, no legitimate right of self defense. Justice demands their defeat and dismantling.
<strong>
To avoid any confusion:</strong> Denying that a particular state has a right to exist is not to deny the <em>people</em> living there a right to exist. In other words, it is not a call for killing everyone in that state (obviously). And no progressive person is calling for a second genocide against Jewish people -- including Israeli Jews.
Similarly the call to "drive them into the sea" has historically been the call of reactionary Arab states -- not of the revolutionary forces in palestine.
The denial of Israel's "right to exist" is a statement that Israel is a racist settler state built on ethnic cleansing, land robbery, and the reactionary privileging of one religious group over the other inhabitants of Palestine. And that the best and most progressive solution is to achieve a secular, democratic, multinational state of Palestine. This is the socalled "one state solution." That is a difficult path, for a number of reasons (and that is its own discussion).0 Like -
Guest (Adrienne)
PermalinkI hear the Mubarakites started firing on the people before dawn in Tahrir Square.
This is for them, and for all the people who are fighting for their rights in the Middle East:
People Have The Power:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i54t4rrS950
/>
Lyrics:
I was dreaming in my dreaming
of an aspect bright and fair
and my sleeping it was broken
but my dream it lingered near
in the form of shining valleys
where the pure air recognized
and my senses newly opened
I awakened to the cry
that the people / have the power
to redeem / the work of fools
upon the meek / the graces shower
it's decreed / the people rule
The people have the power
The people have the power
The people have the power
The people have the power
Vengeful aspects became suspect
and bending low as if to hear
and the armies ceased advancing
because the people had their ear
and the shepherds and the soldiers
lay beneath the stars
exchanging visions
and laying arms
to waste / in the dust
in the form of / shining valleys
where the pure air / recognized
and my senses / newly opened
I awakened / to the cry
Refrain
Where there were deserts
I saw fountains
like cream the waters rise
and we strolled there together
with none to laugh or criticize
and the leopard
and the lamb
lay together truly bound
I was hoping in my hoping
to recall what I had found
I was dreaming in my dreaming
god knows / a purer view
as I surrender to my sleeping
I commit my dream to you
Refrain
The power to dream / to rule
to wrestle the world from fools
it's decreed the people rule
it's decreed the people rule
LISTEN
I believe everything we dream
can come to pass through our union
we can turn the world around
we can turn the earth's revolution
we have the power
People have the power ...0 Like -
Guest (angelagenie)
PermalinkI found an article I wrote about a year ago:
Israel and legitimacy
According to merium-webster.com - the definition of genocide is: the deliberate and systematic extermination of a national, racial, political, or cultural group.
After WWII, the Zionists pressured the newly formed United Nations to create what is now known as the State of Israel. However, most people are not aware of the fact that the United Nations passed resolution 181 (a partition plan for Palestine) in the United Nations General Assembly – a non-binding assembly, unlike the United Nations Security Council – whose resolutions are binding.
So, the question of Israel’s legitimacy has remained due to the lack of the bill passing through the UN Security Council for a vote.
Zionists such as the notorious Irgun gang, amongst others, systematically ethnically cleansed Palestinians through genocide by using extreme terrorist tactics which have not abated since Israel’s inception. A recent example was seen in Gaza during “Operation Cast Lead”.
The lingering question of Israel’s legitimacy remains: Did the United Nations General Assembly have the legal right to create the State of Israel by passing bill 181?
The answer is a most definite no.
As stated earlier, the resolutions passed by that body of the UN are not binding and therefore are simply suggestions or recommendations which then pass on to the UN Security Council for a vote, which never happened with bill 181.
The Zionists rabidly acted on resolution 181, and the British who had ruled Palestine - irresponsibly did not do anything to stop the Zionists from their genocidal rampage of what is known as the Nakba or Catastrophe by the Palestinians and known as Israeli Independence by Israelis.
Is self proclaimed Independence based on genocide via ethnic cleansing a legitimate Independence or is it a war crime and a crime against humanity?
Recent International warrants for the arrests (issued by the Hague) of over 100 Israeli politicians (Such as Tzipi Livni, Ehud Olmert, etc.), generals and others involved in war crimes having to do with the crimes against humanity during “Operation Cast Lead” are a reminders of the lingering doubts of creating a state that did not have the approval of a legitimate body that has the credibility of binding resolutions which are recognized by International law, thus, putting the focus, once again, on the legitimacy and existence of the Zionist State.0 Like



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